Fight Picks: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo

Canelo and Charlo face off simply days earlier than their Sept. 30 showdown in Las Vegas. Picture by Esther Lin / SHOWTIME

On Saturday, undisputed tremendous middleweight champion Canelo Alvarez will put his titles on the road in opposition to undisputed junior middleweight kingpin Jermell Charlo on the T-Cellular Enviornment in Las Vegas.

​The eagerly anticipated showdown will likely be broadcast stay on Showtime Pay-Per-View starting at 8.00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

Canelo boasts a cache of excellent wins over Shane Mosley (UD 12), Austin Trout (UD 12), Erislandy Lara (SD 12), Miguel Cotto (UD 12), Gennadiy Golovkin (MD 12), Daniel Jacobs (UD 12), Sergey Kovalev (KO 11), Callum Smith (UD 12), Billy Joe Saunders (RTD 8) and Caleb Plant (TKO 11).

The 33-year-old is a modern-day nice, having captured world titles at junior middleweight, middleweight, tremendous middleweight and lightweight heavyweight. The Mexican famous person was upset by Dmitry Bivol (UD 12) however has bounced again by beating Golovkin (UD 12) and John Ryder (UD 12).

Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs) beat a number of stable fighters together with Gabriel Rosado (UD 10), Vanes Martirosyan (UD 10) and Joachim Alcine (TKO 6) earlier than capturing the vacant WBC title with a come-from-behind knockout in opposition to John Jackson (KO 8). Charlo made three defenses – most impressively knocking out Erickson Lubin (KO 1) – however misplaced his title in controversial style to Tony Harrison (UD 12). After one comeback win, he regained the title, struggling at occasions earlier than knocking Harrison out (KO 11).

Charlo added the Ring, WBA and IBF titles to his assortment when he knocked out Jeison Rosario (KO 8). The 33-year-old Texan fought WBO counterpart Brian Castaño to a controversial draw. Nonetheless, within the rematch be stopped the Argentine fighter in 10-rounds to turn into the undisputed champion.

Ten world title belts had been on show in the course of the Canelo-Charlo press convention however solely Alvarez’s 5 168-pound titles will likely be on the road on Sept. 30. Picture by Esther Lin / Showtime

Is Canelo (59-2-2, 39 knockouts) beginning to decelerate after greater than 60 fights over a close to 20-year skilled profession? Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs) enters the struggle on the again of 16 months on the sidelines, hardly the most effective preparation for the largest struggle of your life. Will he present any indicators of ring rust? Canelo attributes his lower than stellar current performances to a wrist harm he suffered within the Plant win. He says it’s one hundred pc now. If that’s the case, will we get the previous model of Canelo? How will Charlo look leaping from 154-168-pounds in opposition to the most effective fighters on the earth?

On-line playing group William Hill lists Canelo as a slight 1/4 (-400) favourite, whereas Charlo is priced at 3/1 (+300), the draw is 16/1 (+1600).

Right here’s how the specialists see it: THE RING

“Jermell has the peak, body and athleticism to leap from 154 to 168 and carry out successfully, and I anticipate him to compete on even phrases with Canelo for the primary half of their match (which will likely be extra chess match than shootout). Nonetheless, whereas I imagine Charlo will carry 168 kilos properly, that doesn’t imply he’s able to take the punches of an elite fighter like Canelo who has been acclimated to tremendous middleweight for years. Charlo is used to taking the punches of world-class junior middleweights. Canelo is used to taking pictures from world-class tremendous middleweights and lightweight heavyweights. I believe as soon as the Mexican veteran figures out Charlo’s timing, rhythm, fashion, recreation plan, and so on., he’ll put severe strain — and heap severe punishment — on the Texan. My hunch is that Canelo will cease Charlo any time after Spherical 7, most likely from a physique shot.”

“Intriguing struggle, undisputed versus undisputed. My massive query is which Charlo will flip up, the one which stopped Erickson Lubin, Jeison Rosario and Brian Castano within the rematch or the one who struggled with John Jackson, Tony Harrison or Castano the primary time? The previous will likely be a handful, the later will likely be in for a protracted night time. You’d anticipate him to be motivated and produce his A recreation however how a lot will the 16-month lay off have an effect on him. Whereas Canelo has been busy and though we might properly have seen the most effective of him he’s nonetheless higher than most. You need to favor Canelo and I believe that exercise will likely be key and see him residence by unanimous choice in a aggressive struggle that the Mexican is all the time a step forward.”

“The notion that ‘a great massive man will all the time beat a great smaller man’ will not be sufficient to elucidate my decide. It’s all about what Charlo has to supply and what Canelo has proved that he can face up to and overcome. A smaller man taking up an even bigger fellow could have the pace and mobility benefit, however I’m positive Charlo doesn’t have sufficient of these to fret Canelo. It took Charlo two fights to determine Castaño, a smaller man that he might have outboxed rather more effectively within the first struggle if he had put his instruments to work from the beginning of the struggle. As an alternative, he was erratic at occasions and weak to Castaño’s two-fisted outbursts in a lot of the rounds. Canelo has the facility and the instruments to make those self same outbursts last more and damage rather more. A very good struggle plan might put Charlo’s age and pace benefit to work and create alternatives to pile up sufficient factors to take the win, however barring an ideal technical and tactical efficiency by Charlo that is Canelo’s struggle to lose.”

“This can be a very even struggle on paper, however I doubt it’ll switch on the canvas. Whereas I like Jermell Charlo’s ambition, I can’t see any benefit he holds apart from possibly hand pace. Whereas it appears, Saul Alvarez has been round endlessly, he and Charlo are literally the identical age whereas registering almost twice as many profession bouts. Any age-related slippage that Canelo could also be experiencing is offset by Charlo not having fought in over a year-and-a-half and transferring up two weight lessons. I imagine this struggle will go as most Canelo bouts have, the opponent has early success (in first two rounds) earlier than Alvarez will get rolling and begins to time and put on down his foe with uncooked energy multiplied by fixed strain. Jermell’s ft will assist keep away from a few of that longer, however by seventh or ninth he’s hanging on. I’m tipping Canelo to get a stoppage victory within the championship rounds.”

“This can be a fascinating matchup. A number of years in the past, I might clearly lean towards Alvarez however at 33 he has begun to slide, as all nice fighters do. The query is how far? Canelo has not been the identical since shedding to Bivol, a development I imagine is irreversible. Charlo is an aggressive, expert and hungry opponent with a deadly left hand and the mindset to land it. Ultimately he’ll too usually for Álvarez to provide you with efficient countermeasures. I like Charlo by clear choice.”

“On the stage, Jermell Charlo seems to be greater. Perhaps, he’s. However documented intangibles are stacked closely In Canelo’s favor. He has all of the expertise at tremendous middleweight, he’ll have a loud crowd’s assist and all the pieces else that comes together with his lengthy A-side reign. Perhaps he’s in decline. However Charlo should show it, repeatedly and decisively, in his first struggle ever at 168 kilos. Count on an aggressive Canelo early. Count on a drained Canelo later. However the Mexican’s sturdy defensive talent will preserve him there, nonetheless upright and nonetheless good sufficient to say a slender, most likely controversial choice.”

Canelo Alvarez and Jermell Charlo face-off following the Los Angeles presser for his or her anticipated September 30 showdown. Picture by Esther Lin / Showtime


“I’ve been ready for a real problem for Canelo for a while, so right here it’s, within the form of Charlo. Whereas Canelo has been capable of dominate earlier opponents, he will certainly not get his personal means on this struggle. A younger hungry lion like Charlo will bounce on the likelihood that has been introduced to him surprisingly. In Canelo’s defeat [against Bivol] he was outworked and seemed completely disinterested. Has he misplaced his edge, or will Charlo convey out the most effective in him? The good cash needs to be Canelo on factors. Charlo is transferring up two-weight divisions and will likely be very robust as this is able to be his regular strolling round weight. Query is will the load be a blessing or a curse? I believe Canelo wins on factors majority choice however not with out a scare first.”

“I used to be initially bewildered when this struggle was made. It was the fallacious Charlo, proper? Properly, I’m starting to hedge my bets. It’s well-known that Jermell was an enormous 154-pounder and he ought to most likely have been at middleweight lengthy prior to now. That being the case, this isn’t as massive a bounce because it seems to be on paper, and it’s not like Canelo is a pure tremendous middleweight himself. For me, Canelo is on the slide. He can say he feels younger and all the remainder of it, however the true proof is within the ring. The Mexican star was outclassed by Bivol and he was flat in wins over Golovkin (struggle three) and Ryder. I’m subsequently starting to imagine that this model of Charlo could cause him some actual issues. But it surely’s not all excellent news for Jermell. It’s Vegas, so Canelo begins together with his common three spherical lead earlier than the opening bell. Whereas I believe Charlo can win extra rounds right here, I don’t suppose he can win by sufficient to persuade the officers that he deserves the nod over boxing’s money cow. I believe Canelo wins a controversial choice.”

“I imagine the expertise that Charlo obtained from his back-to-back fights with Castaño ready him for a brief, compact, strain fighter like Canelo. I see Charlo’s jab, motion and punch choice holding Canelo at vary and in management. However I see this struggle going just like how Kovalev and Plant struggle went. I like Canelo by late stoppage in rounds 9 or 10.”

“My coronary heart desires to go together with Charlo, however I can’t observe my coronary heart on this one. I believe Canelo is simply too massive for Charlo and he’ll break him down the entire struggle. Charlo combating solely 3 times in 4 years is a really massive issue too, boxers can say that doesn’t have an effect on them, however now we have seen time and time once more it does. Charlo could have no time to get off ring rust with Canelo, he gained’t permit him to.”

“This must be an attention-grabbing matchup. Charlo is transferring up two division, from junior middleweight, the place he has all 4 belts. This can be a massive step so as to add 14-pounds to his authentic combating weight. I see Charlo beginning sooner and have success early together with his left jabs and lefts and rights to Canelo’s head. Canelo will begin breaking Charlo down after 4 or 5 rounds to start racking up factors. These guys can damage one another however Canelo must be a bit stronger. I believe Canelo can get a late knockdown forcing a stoppage across the tenth.”

“I really like this struggle for thus many causes, Canelo continues to struggle the most effective guys out their time and time once more. He has moved up weight lessons so many occasions in his profession to struggle the larger champions and contenders. Now on the flip facet, Jermell Charlo will try to do what Canelo has performed so many occasions, in what’s going to surely be the largest struggle of his profession up to now. For as entertaining as this struggle more than likely will likely be, I believe it goes both of two methods. Both Canelo goes to stroll him down and reduce off the ring, unloading energy pictures and finally closing the present within the course of. Or Jermell goes to copy the blueprint utilized by Dmitry Bivol and stick his jab all night time, and field good and technically for 12 rounds. I believe Charlo could have some success early on, however Canelo will finally break him down and end this struggle inside the gap.”

“I’ll begin with the premise that Canelo Alvarez is in a sluggish decline. The important thing phrase right here is “sluggish”. He hasn’t fallen off the cliff. With that in thoughts, I nonetheless decide Canelo to win as a result of he’s an all-time nice going through a great, however removed from nice, champion. I think Charlo could have success early on this struggle, 3-4 rounds, earlier than Canelo’s relentless strain together with pure bigger body and energy, will start to take maintain. The center rounds will see Saul take command and beat down Jermell. I search for Canelo to cease Charlo someplace between rounds 7-10.”

“The Charlo brothers are each, stylistically, a nasty match for Canelo however the Mexican nonetheless operates at a degree above Jermell. On one other day, Jermall is likely to be a unique story. Charlo’s footwork and jab is each higher and extra constant than say Plant beforehand, so he’s seemingly to offer Canelo issues for a lot of the night time. However like within the Plant struggle, Canelo will work it out and be just too good. It might go the identical means. Ultimately Canelo will lose to somebody like Charlo however maybe simply not but.”

“I believe that it’ll be a terrific struggle. Motion offers Canelo issues and Charlo strikes simply sufficient to trigger issues. I’m unsure Charlo hits exhausting sufficient to maintain Canelo off him, although he cracks fairly good. Total, I believe it’ll be a fast-paced struggle after a sluggish begin and Canelo comes out victorious as a result of I believe he’s too massive and robust.”

“I believe this struggle can get a bit sophisticated. Charlo is an efficient fighter as is Canelo. I don’t see it as an thrilling struggle, I see it extra as a technical struggle, a chess match. Each could have their moments in an in depth struggle. I see Canelo edging Charlo on this struggle. Energy punches would be the distinction on this boxing match.”

“I give all of the credit score to Charlo on the earth leaping two weight lessons. I believe in lots of methods he’s the naturally greater man however that mentioned he has by no means fought in that weight class. Charlo goes to be very stay and he has some good punching energy and I wouldn’t be shocked if he was capable of stun Canelo sooner or later early on however Canelo I believe would climate the storm and proceed to interrupt him down little-by-little for a late stoppage.”

“I’ve obtained Canelo. Now we have weight lessons for a purpose. It’s a great massive man vs. a great smaller man. Additionally, each males aren’t the busiest punchers and Canelo has very explosive eye-catching punches. It’s normally slick and lively boxers that give Canelo probably the most points. Charlo is great and I’m excited for this struggle really, however leaping two weight lessons to struggle a man like Canelo is a stretch too far.”

“When this struggle was introduced I need to say I, like I imagine many had been, was shocked and thought it was a typo and never Jermell however Jermall. Now weeks away from the struggle can say I’m excited and imagine now we have an amazing struggle forward of us. I imagine an excessive amount of is being made on the load bounce for Jermell. It’s humorous Canelo can bounce up two or three classes, however his opponents can’t. Numerous respect for Jermell, he’s daring to be nice and like many earlier than him he’s up for the problem. There are lots of questions that will likely be answered on this struggle, extra from Canelo’s facet that Charlo’s. Has he misplaced a step? Is he near the tip of the road? Has he misplaced the starvation. For my part, no, no, and no. This struggle will likely be thrilling and explosive, Charlo will attempt to field, and Canelo will look to chop the ring and bang it out. Ultimately it won’t be dimension that determines the winner it is going to be talent and expertise which favor Canelo.”

“Charlo is daring to be nice. He has the peak and attain benefit. His pace and jab are the important thing. Don’t go toe-to-toe with Canelo, preserve boxing for 12-rounds. Canelo could be very motivated for this struggle. Strong, stronger boxer at 168 kilos. Charlo’s motion will give him issues early in struggle, however I imagine Canelo’s strain and energy will break Charlo within the second half of the struggle.”

Last Tally: Canelo 19-1



Austin Trout breaks down Canelo-Charlo from his view in the opposite corner 

Jermell Charlo dares to be great with rare ‘leapfrog’ challenge to Canelo Alvarez

Trainers Shields, Santos, Ford and Garcia share their insight on Canelo-Charlo

Latest issue of The Ring magazine previews Canelo-Charlo showdown


Questions and/or feedback could be despatched to Anson at [email protected] and you’ll observe him on



The Canelo-Charlo conflict is the duvet story to the September 2023 difficulty of The Ring. Artwork by Richard T. Slone

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